Generally the Distaff has been one of the most straight-forward Breeders' Cup races to handicap, based on the fact the favorite has won almost half of the 32 races, and only six times has the winner been in double-digit odds. If you like one of the top contenders in the Distaff, it can be a solid choice to key in Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers.
Stellar Wind - Winner of three consecutive Grade 1 races in 2017, with nine of 10 lifetime wins at the graded stakes level. Won last out over the Del Mar track. Ran 4th in the 2016 Distaff, 2nd in 2015.
Forever Unbridled - Has finished in the money in nine consecutive races dating back to 2015, including running 3rd in the 2016 Distaff, with two straight wins coming into the BC.
Elate - Three-year-old filly passed the test by beating older mares at first opportunity last out in the (G1) Beldame Stakes, has been in the money in eight of nine lifetime with one DNF.
Paradise Woods - Hasn't matched the promise she showed as a juvenile, last win came over a very small field. Speedy frontrunner was 6th over the Del Mar dirt two starts back.
Abel Tasman - Winner of the 2017 (G1) Kentucky Oaks has been 1st or 2nd in nine straight and has a win at Del Mar to her name, will be facing older mares for the first time.
It Tiz Well - Has improved as the season has gone on, and ran very well last time to win the (G1) Cotillion Stakes over Abel Tasman. A repeat of that effort could put her in the top 3 here.
Holy Helena - Beat the boys to win the Queen's Plate, Canada's top race, but faltered against top US fillies in the (G1) Alabama Stakes, finishing 8th as the slight favorite. Has not been declared for the BC.
Romantic Vision - Five-year-old mare only graduated to the graded-stakes level last year and has had mixed results, looked very good winning the (G1) Spinster Stakes last out over a good field and sloppy track.
The Breeders' Cup Distaff is the final race of Day 1 on the Breeders' Cup schedule, and will be run on Friday, November 3 from Del Mar race track. The race is open to fillies and mares age three and older, carries a purse of $2 million, and is run at 1 1/8 miles on the dirt track. The field is limited to 14 starters.
The Key Betting Trends
Future Bet Underlays
Expect very little movement in the odds, but both Paradise Woods and Abel Tasman could be two to drift upwards from +600 and +700, respectively.
Future Bet Overlays
Romantic Vision at +3300 could be half those odds or less come race day, while It Tiz Well (+800) will likely be lower than both Paradise Woods and Abel Tasman.
Next: Breeders' Cup Mile Odds: Preview and Future Bets
Category : Betting Picks
Tag : Breeders Cup , Horse Racing
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