Breeders' Cup Picks 2020: Tiz The Law, Improbable Co-Favorites In Classic

Threes are wild for trainer Bob Baffert. He has sent out the winner of the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic three times and figures to have three horses in the running for this year’s title – Authentic, Improbable, and Maximum Security. Improbable and Tiz the Law are the +300 co-favorites to win the race. The 14-race Breeders’ Cup card is slated for Nov. 6-7 at Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Ky.

• Improbable and Tiz the Law are the +300 co-favorites to win the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic
• The 14-race Breeders’ Cup card is slated for Nov. 6-7 at Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Ky.
• Check out the odds and picks for all the key races in the story that follows

Could there be an Improbable victory in this year’s Breeders’ Cup Classic? Trainer Bob Baffert wouldn’t mind that one bit. Oddsmakers also believe it to be very much within the realm of probability.

Odds to win the 2020 Breeders’ Cup Classic
Tiz The Law	+400	+300	+300
Improbable	+275	+300	+330
Maximum Security	+400	+450	+450
Authenic	+550	+550	+600
Tom’s d’Etat	+500	+700	+600
Global Campaign	+2000	+1600	+2500
By My Standards	+1600	+2500	+1200
Tacitus	+2500	+3300	+2200
Title Ready	+5000	+5000	+10000
Higher Power	+4000	+5000	+2800

Baffert trainee Improbable and Belmont Stakes winner Tiz The Law are currently the +300 co-favorites to capture the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic, the marquee event during the two-day, 14-race Breeders’ Cup card slated for Nov. 6-7 at Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Ky.

Let’s look at the entire Breeders’ Cup race card:

Friday, Nov. 6

• $2 million Juvenile (Favorite: Jackie’s Warrior +140)
• $1 million Juvenile Fillies Turf (Favorite: Aunt Pearl +300)
• $2 million Juvenile Fillies (Favorite: Princess Noor +135)
• $1 million Juvenile Turf (Favorite: Battleground +400)
• $1 million Juvenile Turf Sprint (Favorite: Golden Pal +175)

Saturday, Nov. 7

• $1 million Dirt Mile (Favorite: Complexity +250)
• $1 million Turf Sprint (Favorite: Got Stormy +375)
• $1 million Filly And Mare Sprint (Favorite: Gamine +150)
• $2 million Mile (Favorite: Kameko +400)
• $2 million Sprint (Favorite: Yaupon +300)
• $2 Filly And Mare Turf (Favorite: Rushing Fall +300)
• $2 million Distaff (Favorite: Monomoy Girl (+150)
• $4 million Turf (Magical +275)
• $6 million Classic (Co-favorites Improbable, Tiz The Law +300)

• 1Breeders' Cup Classic: The Favorites
• 2Breeders' Cup Classic: Top Contenders
• 3Breeders' Cup Classic: In With A Chance
• 4How To Bet On the Breeders' Cup Classic

Breeders' Cup Classic: The Favorites

This may be the most evenly-matched field in recently memory for the race and that’s only going to serve to offer stellar betting lines in the Breeders’ Cup Classic Vegas odds. There are several storylines that will play out in this race. The 2020 titles for Horse of the Year, Older Dirt Male and 3-Year-Old Male are all still very much up for grabs.

Interestingly, the Baffert trio of Improbable (post position 8), Authentic (PP#9) and Maximum Security (PP#10) all drew side by side. Belmont Stakes champion Tiz The Law wasn’t as fortunate. He’ll score from the inside post position No. 2, meaning early traffic could prove an issue for him.

Improbable was a beaten favorite in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes in 2019 but appears to have matured splendidly as a four-year-old. He’s tangled with and overcome much of this 10-horse field this year. Improbable has won three straight Grade 1 stakes races, getting the better of the likes of Maximum Security, By My Standards, Tom’s d’Etat and Higher Power in the process.

Tiz The Law’s handlers skipped the Preakness after losing to Authentic in the Kentucky Derby, aiming their sights on this race. The darling of the sport of kings earlier this year following his wins in the Belmont and Travers Stakes, Kentucky hasn’t proven to be Tiz The Law’s favorite place to race. Both of his career losses were suffered there, albeit at Churchill Downs.

Breeders' Cup Classic: Top Contenders

At the age of seven, Tom’s d’Etat is the figurative old warhorse but he can still show the kids how it’s done. Tom’s d’Etat got the better of Improbable earlier this season at Churchill Downs. Favored to win the Whitney, Tom’s d’Etat stumbled out of the gate and was a beaten third behind Improbable and By My Standards.

Completing the Kentucky Derby/Breeders’ Cup Classic double is rarely done. Authentic will try to achieve this rare feat but his loss to the filly Swiss Skydiver in the Preakness displayed that Authentic can beat beaten. Expect him to go to the front, but will Authentic show the class to hold off the field?

Breeders' Cup Classic: In With A Chance

Maximum Security’s six-race win streak came to a halt in his last start in the Awesome Again. He was a beaten second to stablemate Improbable. He’d not faced this level of competition during his winning run.

By My Standards is an intriguing longshot in the Breeders’ Cup Classic odds. The 4-year-old is a different horse when Gabriel Saez is in the saddle. Saez was up for the horse’s last three victories.

Without Saez, By My Standards was second to Tom’s d’Etat (Stephen Foster) and Improbable (Whitney).

By
To win the Breeders’ Cup Classic

+1600

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How To Bet On the Breeders' Cup Classic

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