Patrick Mahomes to have Over 23.5 pass completions

Patrick Mahomes to have Over 23.5 pass completions

The NFL season will come to a glorious end at Super Bowl LIX when the Philadelphia Eagles take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday February 9th with both teams looking to make history.

The likes of Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts will be looking to be the reason why their team get the win and will be giving everything, but it's often other players' performances that can make the difference.

We’ll take a look at the match-up and provide you with our best free Super Bowl betting picks to see if we can earn you some extra cash while you take in the action on the field.

Super Bowl LIXBetOnlineBetUSBovada
Kansas City Chiefs-133-132-128
Philadelphia Eagles+113+112+118

Super Bowl LIX: Kansas City Chiefs v Philadelphia Eagles information

  • Sunday, February 9th 2025
  • Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
  • 18:30 ET start time
  • Live on FOX Sports
  • Half-time show – Kendrick Lamar featuring SZA

NFL Super Bowl LIX prop bets

The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting occasions on the planet, and that means the bookies give you as many opportunities to earn cash as possible. Below are our favorite prop bets for the Super Bowl LIX game.

NFL Picks: Patrick Mahomes – Over 23.5 Completions (-135)

This game is likely to be just as close as the Super Bowl match up they had two years ago, and that means there is every chance that it goes down to the final plays of the game which will really help this bet.

Mahomes is the king of the Chiefs and his ability to play short and accurate passes means that the team can get down the field seamlessly, and that means plenty of attempts.

Mahomes has gone Over this number in 10 of his last 16 games, and the team are unlikely to be running too much against an Eagles defense that has allowed only 4.08 yards per carry his season. That means more passing volume and the more attempts Mahomes has, the more completions he will get. The value at -135 is good too, so take it while you can before the line moves.

Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 completions Kansas City Chiefs v Philadelphia Eagles
Bovada
-135

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NFL Picks: Saquon Barkley – Under 22.5 Rush Attempts (-125)

The Philadelphia Eagles have been the best team in the NFL in recent years when it comes to running, but the Chiefs have been the team with the perfect remedy for that which makes this a tricky bet. The Eagles will no doubt pass more regularly than they usually do, and that means that Saquon Barkley Under 22.5 rush attempts makes sense.

Barkley has gone Over 22.5 rush attempts in four of his last five games, but the Chiefs have allowed only 18.9 carries to running backs this season. There also hasn’t been lead ball carrier to get to 23+ carries vs the Chiefs this season for any team.

It's not a banker by any means, but Barkley to go Under looks like the value bet for this market and the statistics back it up.

Saquon Barkley Under 22.5 rush attempts Kansas City Chiefs v Philadelphia Eagles
Bovada
-125

NFL Picks: Dallas Goedert – Over 50.5 receiving yards (-120)

When the Eagles need an outlet, Goedert is the man who more often than not is being looked out for by Jalen Hurts.

The 30-year-old superstar has been averaging 62.7 receiving yards per game this postseason, with 15 receptions on 18 targets for 188 yards and a touchdown in three games. He's been in sensational form, and will be targeted once again in this game on plenty of occasions.

If Kansas City look to double-team him or come up with a plan to stop him, that will mean less resources stopping the likes of Saquon Barkley and AJ Brown on the Eagles offense. It seems like a difficult situation to deal with regardless, so the Over has got fantastic value at -120.

Dallas Goedert Over 50.5 receiving yards Kansas City Chiefs v Philadelphia Eagles
Bovada
-120

NFL Picks: Jalen Hurts – Over 29.5 Pass Attempts (+170)

This is a bet where there is terrific value in the circumstances, even if the numbers may be going against it at the moment.

Hurts has had Under 26.5 pass attempts on several occasions in recent weeks, but with the way the Chiefs defend, this could be an ideal situation for the quarterback to shine.

Similarly to Mahomes, the expectation of a tight game means more pass attempts which can only be a good thing for Hurts. If the Eagles are in a position where they're chasing the game too, it's even better.

The Chiefs allowed 33.2 pass attempts per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. while each opposing team has combined for 27+ pass attempts against the Chiefs this year.

30 or more attempts is a big jump undoubtedly, and with the way the Eagles run the ball there is every chance they keep trying to do what got them to the dance to begin with. But with a +170 value and the circumstances of the game situation, plus Hurts' quality, this is a great bet to look at and stands out as our best bet for the game.

Jalen Hurts Over 29.5 pass attempts Kansas City Chiefs v Philadelphia Eagles
Bovada
+170

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