A wonderful NFL season is finally hitting it's climax as we hit the 57th edition of the Super Bowl LVII when the two teams with the best regular season records go head to head.
The Philadelphia Eagles will take on the Kansas City Chiefs as the two best teams in the NFL clash in the biggest game in the sport, with key individual battles likely to decide where the trophy ends up.
We’ll take a look at Sunday's big game and pick out the best prop bets to give you our best free NFL picks, and see if we can earn you some extra cash for the end of the weekend.
Learn more about how to bet on the Super Bowl here.
Super Bowl LVII information:
- Sunday, February 12th 2023
- State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
- 18:30 ET
NFL Super Bowl LVII prop bets
The Super Bowl is one of the biggest events in the sporting world every year, and that means plenty of markets to bet on outside of your standard betting opportunities.
Below are our favorite prop bets for the Super Bowl LVII game.
Super Bowl picks: Jalen Hurts over 249.5 passing yards
Two dominant wins where they outscored the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers by a combined score of 69-14, the Eagles haven't had to rely on the arm of Hurts much throughout the playoffs so far.
If that's going to change then it will happen here, as the Eagles face a Chiefs' offense that ranks first across the NFL in points per game (29.2) and passing yards (297.8).
The total of 250 yards may seem high considering Hurts has only done it five times this season, but with a largely passing offense more likely in this game it seems likely to come in and at a decent price too.
Check out our review for BetUS sports betting here.
Super Bowl picks: Isiah Pacheco over 10.5 rushing attempts
Pacheco has exploded onto the scene for the Chiefs in the second half of the season. The star running back has emerged since Week 10 as he's had at least 11 carries in eight of his last 11 games, plus the team-high 170 attempts this year.
Considering he's only been around for half the season, that's mighty impressive.
The 23-year-old has had double-digit carries in both games so far this post-season, and I expect he'll record at least 11 attempts in Super Bowl too for a winning ticket.
NFL picks: Marquez Valdes-Scantling over 29.5 receiving yards
Valdes-Scantling saved his best for last as he hauled in six catches for a game-high 116 yards and a touchdown in the Championship game. It was the most receiving yards he has recorded in a game this year.
You could find a bet on him to take in two receptions in this game, but take the Chiefs receiver to have at least 30 yards as he'll have to step up again with injuries in the Kansas changing room and this is a great value bet.
Check out our review for MyBookie sports betting here.
NFL picks: Jake Elliott under 7.5 kicking points
Jake Elliott only made 20 field goals during the regular season and five of them came in the Week 18 win over the Giants.
That was his only game with more than two field goal attempts. He’s 2-for-2 this postseason, but has successfully kicked nine extra points.
This is a team that rarely settles for field goals, and therefore Elliott's input on the scoring is likely to be held to a minimum.
The Chiefs are not a team that forced opponents into many field goals either. Kansas City ranked 31st in touchdown percentage in the red zone at 67.3%, better than only the Colts.
The Eagles offense was third in red zone touchdown percentage at 67.8%. Philadelphia was also fourth in fourth-down attempts and fourth in fourth-down conversion rate.
It's possible that they'll go for the points in the Super Bowl, but the success they've had in the fourth down this season is what got them here and it would be off if they swayed away from that.
NFL picks: Opening kickoff NOT to be a touchback
The league-wide touchback percentage during the regular season was 59.7% out of 2,698 kickoffs. The two kickers in question here are Elliott and Harrison Butker.
Elliott had 91 kickoffs this season with 63 touchbacks for a 69.2% touchback percentage, while Butker only played 13 games and had 68 kickoffs with 44 touchbacks for a 64.7% touchback percentage.
But when you factor in the fact that the opening kickoff has not been a touchback in 28 of the last 32 Super Bowls, it makes this bet bonkers to believe as being plus money.
This bet is a little bit of a risk as both kickers are very good, but it seems worth the risk at +170 given the historical rate of touchbacks on opening kickoffs in the Super Bowl alone if nothing else.
There's also the fact that they use a brand new ball rather than one that has already been kicked around a bit and has a soft spot to gain more distance that should be a factor too.
